Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 7.119321 8.228100 9.413774 10.771664 12.279294 13.897393 15.760815
2025-04-06 5.241210 6.689826 8.356920 10.399668 12.816700 15.566702 18.912364
2025-04-13 3.878987 5.453181 7.395951 9.928937 13.100215 16.894191 21.727046
2025-04-20 3.247960 4.973799 7.236896 10.345480 14.420980 19.495307 26.194124
2025-04-27 2.902619 4.794150 7.408630 11.161595 16.272460 22.844293 31.769198
2025-05-04 2.562474 4.552823 7.444853 11.769050 17.864203 25.929833 37.158862
2025-05-11 2.145437 4.117353 7.135153 11.837837 18.697179 28.032012 41.342685
2025-05-18 1.728809 3.601496 6.627053 11.544751 18.967070 29.350018 44.502540
2025-05-25 1.403814 3.174086 6.190089 11.293700 19.247215 30.659310 47.669063
2025-06-01 1.175367 2.872527 5.910582 11.243537 19.795799 32.344645 51.395951
2025-06-08 0.978480 2.589504 5.620277 11.135667 20.228477 33.858082 54.912366
2025-06-15 0.907853 2.549250 5.751529 11.731852 21.786088 37.083574 61.000726
2025-06-22 0.782155 2.370407 5.615098 11.873013 22.649925 39.347322 65.835288
2025-06-29 0.617416 2.062029 5.187754 11.457806 22.571607 40.165471 68.555889
2025-07-06 0.474828 1.765081 4.734692 10.942223 22.276994 40.617340 70.724775
2025-07-13 0.431024 1.716494 4.792367 11.387472 23.649190 43.751731 77.091311
2025-07-20 0.421827 1.763973 5.063922 12.264563 25.818146 48.237577 85.677344
2025-07-27 0.397105 1.759521 5.217424 12.917037 27.615942 52.177950 93.518229
2025-08-03 0.340361 1.639547 5.088994 12.990196 28.371385 54.434045 98.771432
2025-08-10 0.272510 1.458392 4.786486 12.674327 28.390434 55.461391 102.093776
2025-08-17 0.218547 1.303076 4.520165 12.403814 28.467519 56.574345 105.568610
2025-08-24 0.181940 1.197593 4.362969 12.349656 28.940911 58.362329 110.167062
2025-08-31 0.149096 1.091848 4.186541 12.233420 29.281905 59.925750 114.430719